Statistical Odds and Ends
Here’s a place for all the silly statistics I have that don’t make sense to put elsewhere. These are in no order.
- Team With Highest Odds of Undefeated Season: Oakland (70.66%)
- Team With Lowest Odds of Undefeated Season That’s Still a Projected Favorite in Each Game: Springfield (6.61%)
- Total Number of Teams Favored in All Ten (or Nine) Games: 19
- Team With Lowest Projected Win Total: Grundy County (0.74 wins)
- Total Number of Teams Favored in Zero Games: 19
- Team With Fewest Projected Region Losses: Huntingdon (0.04 losses) in 1A-6
- Number of Projected Ties (Projected Spread of 0.0 Points): 3 (Brentwood/Independence, Stone Memorial/Macon Co., Unaka/Jellico)
- Region With Smallest Gap from First to Fourth: 4A-4 (0.63 wins)
- Projected Champions by Region: Middle Tennessee 4, East Tennessee 3, West Tennessee 2
- Total Number of Games: 1,771 (TSSAA says 1,767, though)
- Week With the Highest Number of Games: Week 1 (179)
- Week With the Lowest Number of Games: Week 8 (111)
- Teams Playing Nine or Fewer Games: 13
- Team Playing the Fewest Number of Games: Webb Bell Buckle (eight)
- Highest Game Score by Week:
- Week One: Alcoa/Blackman (76.0)
- Week Two: Brentwood Academy/Milton (GA) (94.7)
- Week Three: McCallie/Brentwood Academy (68.7)
- Week Four: Pulaski Academy (AR)/Ravenwood (90.6)
- Week Five: Montgomery Bell Academy/Memphis University (73.0)
- Week Six: McCallie/West Forsyth (GA) (63.8)
- Week Seven: Oakland/Blackman (71.7)
- Week Eight: Brentwood Academy/Montgomery Bell Academy (62.3)
- Week Nine: Bearden/Farragut (38.1)
- Week Ten: Clearwater Academy Int’l (FL)/McCallie (78.6)
- Week Eleven: Oak Ridge/Fulton (55.2)
- Game of the Year, by Class: (NOTE: Only Class vs. Class games count; for example, 4A vs. 4A. Obviously, something like Maryville/Alcoa would crush the 3A ratings.)
- 1A: Whitwell/South Pittsburg, Week Nine (29.2)
- 2A: Trousdale Co./Watertown, Week Three (18.8)
- 3A: East Nashville/Pearl-Cohn, Week Seven (23.4)
- 4A: Maplewood/Tullahoma, Week Eleven (29.4)
- 5A: Oak Ridge/Fulton, Week Eleven (55.2)
- 6A: Ravenwood/Blackman, Week Two (87.2)
- II-A: Davidson Academy/Friendship Christian, Week Five (13.2)
- II-AA: Battle Ground Academy/Christ Presbyterian Academy, Week Five (46.0)
- II-AAA: Montgomery Bell Academy/Memphis University (73.0)
- Other 45ish+ Game Scores That Aren’t the Game of the Week:
- Week One: Lausanne/Mayfield (KY) (54.8), Southaven (MS)/Houston (54.5), Bob Jones (AL)/Christian Brothers (54.1), Briarcrest Christian/Madison Academy (AL) (45.4), Cordova/Memphis Central (45.2)
- Week Two: Ravenwood/Blackman (87.2), Anderson Co./Powell (48.6)
- Week Three: Whitehaven/North Little Rock (AR) (51.7), Baylor/Father Ryan (48.0), Briarcrest Christian/Pope John Paul II (46.6)
- Week Four: Maryville/Alcoa (74.3), Christ Presbyterian Academy/Ensworth (63.9), Franklin-Simpson (KY)/Battle Ground Academy (60.6), Whitehaven/Brentwood Academy (52.2), Lausanne/Cordova (48.4), Beech/Hendersonville (45.6)
- Week Five: Knox Catholic/McCallie (69.5), Olive Branch (MS)/Germantown (49.4), Battle Ground Academy/Christ Presbyterian Academy (46.0)
- Week Six: Maryville/Farragut (61.4), Christian Brothers/Memphis Central (57.4)
- Week Seven: Brentwood Academy/Knox Catholic (63.0), Germantown/Henry Co. (49.7), Brentwood/Independence (47.9)
- Week Eight: Ravenwood/Christ Presbyterian Academy (58.0), Germantown/Memphis Central (57.9)
- Week Nine: none
- Week Ten: Cordova/Houston (52.4), Science Hill/Dobyns-Bennett (46.5)
- Week Eleven: Bearden/Science Hill (52.2)
Okay, that’s enough words. Thanks for reading the 2019 Tennessee High School Football Preview! If you made it this far, send it to a friend and tell them this is the only metrics-based high school football preview in the state of Tennessee…and possibly in the South, who knows. If you have a question or a complaint or want something I didn’t list in this article, please either send me a Tweet @statsbywill OR email me at statsbywill@gmail.com.
Stats by Will 