2020 Tennessee high school football playoff projections, round two

If you’re curious, I am at the beach and, as of 4:22 PM ET, just realized I never posted this. I’ll get the graphics back next week.

1A

Favorites to win championship (20% or higher): South Pittsburg (39.6% to win; -2.9% from last week)

Second-tier contenders (5% or higher): Gordonsville (18.6%; +2.7%), Huntingdon (9.8%; +2.3%), Fayetteville (9.5%; +0.8%), Moore Co. (8.6%; -0.7%), Lake Co. (6.2%; -0.8%)

Darkhorses (1% or higher): Coalfield (2.4%; -0.8%), Greenback (1.6%; +0.2%), Monterey (1.5%; +0.2%)

Most likely championship game: South Pittsburg vs. Huntingdon (12.1% chance of happening)

  • (R2 #2) Oliver Springs 26 at (R1 #1) Cloudland 20
  • (R2 #3) Greenback 24 at (R2 #1) Coalfield 28
  • (R4 #2) Monterey 18 at (R3 #1) South Pittsburg 37
  • (R4 #3) Clay Co. 13 at (R4 #1) Gordonsville 30
  • (R5 #3) Huntland 16 at (R5 #1) Fayetteville 29
  • (R5 #2) Moore Co. 26 at (R6 #1) Huntingdon 28
  • (R7 #3) West Carroll 25.4 at (R7 #1) Greenfield 25.1
  • (R7 #4) Dresden 21 at (R7 #2) Lake Co. 38

2A

Favorites to win championship (20% or higher): Peabody (63.9%; +0.3%)

Second-tier contenders (5% or higher): Watertown (16.8%; -0.6%), Meigs Co. (9.8%; -0.8%)

Darkhorses (1% or higher): Trousdale Co. (3.4%; +1.0%), Lewis Co. (1.4%; -0.3%), McKenzie (1.2%; no change), Bledsoe Co. (1.1%; no change)

Most likely championship game: Peabody vs. Watertown (36.5% chance of happening)

  • (R2 #2) Rockwood 17 at (R1 #1) South Greene 28
  • (R1 #2) Hampton 17 at (R2 #1) Meigs Co. 32
  • (R4 #2) Trousdale Co. 23 at (R3 #1) Bledsoe Co. 20
  • (R3 #2) Marion Co. 18 at (R4 #1) Watertown 35
  • (R6 #2) Riverside 16 at (R5 #1) Lewis Co. 25
  • (R5 #2) Forrest 18 at (R6 #1) Waverly Central 28
  • (R7 #3) Union City 14 at (R7 #1) Peabody 46
  • (R7 #4) Adamsville 20 at (R7 #2) McKenzie 27

3A

Favorites to win championship (20% or higher): Alcoa (56%; -2.2%), Pearl-Cohn (24.2%; -0.2%)

Second-tier contenders (5% or higher): Red Bank (7.8%; +1.2%), Milan (5%; +0.4%)

Darkhorses (1% or higher): Covington (3.3%; +0.4%), South Gibson (2.3%; +0.2%)

Most likely championship game: Alcoa vs. Pearl-Cohn (42.9% chance of happening)

  • (R2 #4) Pigeon Forge 21 at (R2 #2) GPittman 31
  • (R2 #3) Kingston 2 at (R2 #1) Alcoa 43
  • (R3 #3) Brainerd 11 at (R3 #1) Red Bank 37
  • (R3 #2) Loudon 28 at (R4 #1) Upperman 18
  • (R5 #3) East Nashville 13 at (R5 #1) Pearl-Cohn 32
  • (R5 #2) Giles Co. 25 at (R6 #1) Stewart Co. 19
  • (R7 #3) Covington 22 at (R7 #1) Milan 25
  • (R7 #4) Westview 17 at (R7 #2) South Gibson 31

4A

Favorites to win championship (20% or higher): Tullahoma (37.4%; +3.8%), Elizabethton (30%; -6.5%)

Second-tier contenders (5% or higher): Lexington (9.8%; -0.3%), Hardin Co. (5.9%; +1%)

Darkhorses (1% or higher): Haywood (4%; -0.1%), Anderson Co. (3.6%; +0.9%); Nolensville (2.2%; +0.2%), Marshall Co. (2.1%; +0.6%), Dyersburg (2%; +0.5%), Springfield (1.8%; +0.1%)

Most likely championship game: Tullahoma vs. Lexington (15.6% chance of happening)

  • (R1 #3) Sullivan South 8 at (R1 #1) Elizabethton 41
  • (R1 #2) Greeneville 25 at (R2 #1) Anderson Co. 33
  • (R4 #2) Nolensville 28 at (R3 #1) DeKalb Co. 19
  • (R4 #3) Marshall Co. 16 at (R4 #1) Tullahoma 32
  • (R6 #2) Hardin Co. 24 at (R5 #1) Springfield 20
  • (R5 #2) Creek Wood 15 at (R6 #1) Lexington 33
  • (R7 #3) Dyersburg 28 at (R7 #1) Haywood 32
  • (R7 #4) Crockett Co. 26 at (R7 #2) Ripley 25

5A

Favorites to win championship (20% or higher): Knoxville West (36.5%; +5.9%)

Second-tier contenders (5% or higher): Henry Co. (18.4%; +1%), Beech (14.5%; -2.6%), Oak Ridge (8.5%; -1.3%), Summit (6.9%; +1.2%), Central (5.5%; +1.3%)

Darkhorses (1% or higher): South-Doyle (2.8%; +1.1%), Hillsboro (2.3%; +0.9%), Rhea Co. (1.9%; +0.9%), David Crockett (1%; -0.3%)

Most likely championship game: Knoxville West vs. Henry Co. (22.8% chance of happening)

  • (R2 #2) South-Doyle 29 at (R1 #1) David Crockett 27
  • (R2 #3) Knoxville Halls 21 at (R2 #1) Central 31
  • (R4 #2) Walker Valley 18 at (R3 #1) Knoxville West 38
  • (R3 #2) Oak Ridge 27 at (R4 #1) Rhea Co. 22
  • (R5 #3) Columbia Central 11 at (R5 #1) Summit 34
  • (R6 #3) Hillsboro 22 at (R6 #1) Beech 32
  • (R8 #2) Brighton 10 at (R7 #1) Henry Co. 40
  • (R7 #4) Clarksville 22 at (R7 #2) Northeast 33

6A

Favorites to win championship (20% or higher): Maryville (30.4%; +0.7%), Oakland (29.8%; -0.3%)

Second-tier contenders (5% or higher): Ravenwood (12.2%; -0.5%), Bartlett (8.7%; -0.4%), Brentwood (8.5%; +1.4%)

Darkhorses (1% or higher): Riverdale (2.5%; +0.3%), Independence (2.1%; -0.2%), Dobyns-Bennett (1.9%; -0.7%), McMinn Co. (1.8%; +0.2%), Collierville (1.1%; no change)

Most likely championship game: Oakland vs. Ravenwood (12.9% chance of happening) and Maryville vs. Ravenwood (12.4% chance of happening)

  • (R2 #2) McMinn Co. 24 at (R1 #1) Dobyns-Bennett 26
  • (R2 #3) Bradley Central 21 at (R2 #1) Maryville 43
  • (R4 #2) Mount Juliet 13 at (R3 #1) Oakland 43
  • (R3 #2) Riverdale 26 at (R4 #1) Hendersonville 22
  • (R6 #4) Franklin 16 at (R6 #2) Ravenwood 36
  • (R6 #3) Independence 19 at (R6 #1) Brentwood 27
  • (R7 #3) Bartlett 33 at (R7 #1) Houston 20
  • (R7 #4) Cordova 17 at (R7 #2) Collierville 30

II-A

Favorites to win championship (20% or higher): Davidson Academy (67.2%; +3%)

Second-tier contenders (5% or higher): University School of Jackson (17.2%; -1.4%), Donelson Christian Academy (9%; -0.4%)

Darkhorses (1% or higher): Nashville Christian (4.5%; -0.5%), King’s Academy (1.2%; -0.1%)

Most likely title game: Davidson Academy vs. University School of Jackson (47.8% chance of happening)

  • (W #4) Trinity Christian Academy 17 at (E #1) Donelson Christian Academy 34
  • (E #3) Middle Tennessee Christian 13 at (W #2) University School of Jackson 39
  • (W #5) Jackson Christian 13 at (W #1) Davidson Academy 41
  • (W #3) Nashville Christian 32 at (E #2) King’s Academy 28

II-AA

Favorites to win championship (20% or higher): Christ Presbyterian Academy (49.2%; -1.6%), Lipscomb Academy (42.1%; +0.4%)

Second-tier contenders (5% or higher): CAK (6%; +1%)

Darkhorses (1% or higher): Evangelical Christian (1.3%; +0.4%)

Most likely title game: Christ Presbyterian Academy vs. Lipscomb Academy (64.8% chance of happening)

  • (M #4) Battle Ground Academy 22 at (W #1) Evangelical Christian 26
  • (W #2) Lausanne Collegiate 14 at (M #1) Lipscomb Academy 38
  • (M #3) Goodpasture Christian 20 at (E #1) CAK 32
  • (E #4) Chattanooga Christian 7 at (M #2) Christ Presbyterian Academy 41 (game cancelled due to COVID-19)

II-AAA

Favorites to win championship (20% or higher): Brentwood Academy (46.4%)

Second-tier contenders (5% or higher): Montgomery Bell Academy (16.5%), Father Ryan (11.3%), McCallie (9.5%), Pope John Paul II (5.8%)

Darkhorses (1% or higher): Memphis University (3.9%), Christian Brothers (3.9%), Baylor (2.7%)

Most likely title game: Brentwood Academy vs. Montgomery Bell Academy (26.9% chance of happening)

  • (W #4) Pope John Paul II 19 at (E #1) Brentwood Academy 32
  • (E #3) McCallie 27 at (W #2) Christian Brothers 24
  • (E #4) Baylor 16 at (W #1) Montgomery Bell Academy 25
  • (W #3) Memphis University 23 at (E #2) Father Ryan 29

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