Hello! I’m on my honeymoon right now, so analysis is obviously limited. Last week, the projections went 136-24 (85%), bringing them to 946-236 (80%) on the season. Very good!
As a reminder, you can keep track of season-long win projections via this spreadsheet, which is linked here:
I’ll add in more analysis next week. Favorites are expected to go about 87.8-21.2 (80.5%), and games should be better this week than normal. 55 Region games!
Here’s how the Win Percentage Groups are hanging after Week 7:
- 50-59% likely to win the game: 103-72 (58.9%); 10-8 last week
- 60-69%: 128-67 (65.6%); 14-5 last week
- 70-79%: 140-60 (70%); 22-8 last week
- 80-89%: 183-20 (90.1%); 22-2 last week
- 90-99%: 391-16 (96.1%); 68-1 last week
Here’s this week’s games:
Thursday
- Ravenwood 34 at Christ Presbyterian Academy 21
- Austin-East 19 at GPittman 31
- Clarksville 28 at Kenwood 16
- Melrose 54 at King Prep 0
- Rossview 13 at Lipscomb Academy 28
- Trezevant 13 at Memphis Academy of Health Sciences 23
- Oakhaven 8 at Memphis Academy of Science and Engineering 29
- Westwood 15 at Memphis East 31
- Bluff City 0 at Middle College 41
- Glencliff 0 at Nolensville 62
- Northwest 25 at Northeast 28
- Pigeon Forge 16 at Northview 26
- Centennial 17 at Page 38
- Mount Juliet 37 at Spring Hill 6
- Memphis Business Academy 15 at Washington 31
- Sheffield 0 at Wooddale 53
Friday
- Arlington 25 at Bartlett 28
- Franklin Road Academy 22 at Battle Ground Academy 26
- Jefferson Co. 19 at Bearden 25
- Monterey 20 at Bledsoe Co. 24
- Lookout Valley 0 at Boyd-Buchanan 52
- Moore Co. 31 at Byrns [Jo] 10
- Cascade 21 at Cannon Co. 28
- Grace Christian 24 at Chattanooga Christian 27
- Greenbrier 28 at Cheatham Co. Central 21
- David Crockett 37 at Cherokee 19
- Grainger 24 at Chuckey-Doak 30
- Fulton 25 at Clinton 27
- Hampton 35 at Cloudland 12
- Greenback 30 at Coalfield 18
- Houston 31 at Collierville 16
- Trinity Christian Academy 20 at Columbia Academy 25
- McMinn Central 22 at Copper Basin 29
- Claiborne 29 at Cosby 20
- Bolton 20 at Craigmont 29
- Rockwood 31 at Cumberland Co. 9
- Lee (VA) 18 at Cumberland Gap 25
- Volunteer 20 at Daniel Boone 43
- University School of Jackson 31 at Davidson Academy 27
- Smith Co. 28 at DeKalb Co. 22
- Farragut 15 at Dobyns-Bennett 35
- Hamilton 8 at Douglass [Frederick] 41
- McKenzie 36 at Dresden 18
- Hixson 2 at East Hamilton 42
- Chattanooga Central 13 at East Ridge 35
- Bishop Sycamore (OH) 3 at Ensworth 40
- Nashville Christian 29 at Fayette Academy 22
- Northpoint Christian 14 at First Assembly Christian 27
- Humboldt 32 at Gleason 31
- Silverdale Academy 31 at Grace Baptist Academy 12
- Sullivan South 14 at Greeneville 44
- Johnson Co. 14 at Happy Valley 27
- Fairview 40 at Harpeth 8
- East Hickman Co. 18 at Hickman Co. 27
- Antioch 19 at Hillwood 37
- Perry Co. 14 at Hollow Rock-Bruceton Central 33
- West Carroll 10 at Houston Co. 32
- Wayne Co. 1 at Huntingdon 59
- Pickett Co. 11 at Jackson Co. 36
- Wartburg 40 at Jellico 15
- Oneida 30 at King’s Academy 17
- Scott 16 at Kingston 23
- Raleigh-Egypt 5 at Kirby 45
- West Greene 0 at Knox Catholic 53
- White Co. 8 at Livingston Academy 40
- Mount Pleasant 29 at Loretto 23
- Coffee Co. Central 15 at Maplewood 31
- Walker Valley 33 at Marion Co. 17
- Giles Co. 17 at Marshall Co. 39
- Bradley Central 15 at Maryville 34
- Collinwood 16 at McEwen 33
- Germantown 22 at Memphis Central 24
- Fayette Ware 26 at Memphis Overton 18
- Memphis Nighthawks 32 at Middleton 27
- Harriman 13 at Midway 33
- Brentwood Academy 20 at Montgomery Bell Academy 18
- Springfield 23 at Montgomery Central 28
- Sevier Co. 30 at Morristown East 22
- Webb Bell Buckle 14 at Mount Juliet Christian Academy 31
- Sale Creek 23 at North Georgia (GA) 27
- McMinn Co. 40 at Notre Dame 13
- Peabody 43 at Obion Co. 5
- Sweetwater 39 at Polk Co. 9
- Trousdale Co. 30 at Portland 12
- Rhea Co. 24 at Red Bank 26
- Clinton Co. (KY) 41 at Red Boiling Springs 9
- Morristown West 11 at Science Hill 40
- Howard Tech 47 at Sequoyah 3
- Cleveland 21 at Shelbyville Central 33
- Soddy Daisy 26 at Signal Mountain 17
- Lake Co. 50 at South Fulton 10
- North Greene 0 at South Greene 58
- Meigs Co. 23 at South Pittsburg 25
- Sullivan Central 30 at Sullivan East 27
- Franklin Co. 8 at Summit 38
- Oliver Springs 41 at Sunbright 4
- Stratford 33 at Sycamore 12
- Cocke Co. 12 at Tennessee 48
- Hancock Co. 10 at Thomas Walker (VA) 37
- Clarksville Academy 16 at Tipton-Rosemark Academy 32
- Baylor 38 at Tyner Academy 8
- Dyersburg 34 at Union City 20
- Elizabethton 50 at Union Co. 6
- Henry Co. 46 at West Creek 9
- Bolivar Central 16 at Westview 39
- White House 20 at White House-Heritage 30
- Whitehaven 31 at White Station 20
- Grundy Co. 25 at Whitwell 26
- LaVergne 19 at Wilson Central 28
As a reminder, you can view this week’s schedule in full at this link. (It’s Week 8. That’s the sheet.)
Best of luck to all teams this week!
Stats by Will 